While Rio Ave have been far from impressive this season, they have been difficult to beat lately and were a tad unlucky not to have got anything away to Vitoria Guimaraes in their last match. Still, the hosts are unbeaten in their last three home games, and we fancy them to claim an important win to move out of the bottom three in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
0.31) 
-0.38) 
