SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
55.06% ( 0.31) | 24.01% ( 0.06) | 20.93% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( -0.69) | 50.71% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( -0.61) | 72.61% ( 0.61) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% ( -0.14) | 18.3% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.62% ( -0.24) | 49.37% ( 0.24) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.77) | 38.79% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.47% ( -0.74) | 75.53% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.04% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.93% |
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