SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
38.65% ( 0.18) | 25.81% ( -0.05) | 35.54% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.59% ( 0.19) | 49.4% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.55% ( 0.17) | 71.45% ( -0.17) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% ( 0.18) | 25.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% ( 0.25) | 59.78% ( -0.25) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( 0.01) | 26.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.86% ( 0.01) | 62.13% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.65% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.54% |
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