Rio Ave have endured a stuttering start to the new campaign and currently find themselves scrambling for points at the wrong end of the table. Boavista have been decent away from home, where they have picked up three wins and one draw in their five matches this season, and we fancy them claiming a narrow victory this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.05) 
