SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
37.24% ( 0.24) | 26.17% ( 0.14) | 36.59% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.6) | 50.92% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( -0.53) | 72.8% ( 0.53) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( -0.14) | 26.57% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( -0.19) | 61.78% ( 0.19) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( -0.5) | 26.94% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% ( -0.66) | 62.28% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.59% |
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