SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
41.04% ( 0.81) | 27.81% ( -0.57) | 31.15% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( 1.95) | 58.23% ( -1.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( 1.51) | 78.87% ( -1.5) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 1.4) | 27.88% ( -1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.52% ( 1.75) | 63.48% ( -1.75) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( 0.86) | 34.14% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( 0.91) | 70.83% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.04% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.72)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.14% |
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