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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
0 - 0
Racing


Vera (27'), Barboza (69')
FT

Lemos (32'), Bueno (82'), da Rocha Falero (90+4')
De Los Santos (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Maldonado
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawRacing de Montevideo
33.61% (0.942 0.94) 28.62% (0.258 0.26) 37.77% (-1.2 -1.2)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-0.565 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.38% (-0.774 -0.77)60.62% (0.775 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.29% (-0.59 -0.59)80.7% (0.58799999999999 0.59)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.35% (0.245 0.25)33.65% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.7% (0.268 0.27)70.3% (-0.268 -0.27)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.04% (-1.109 -1.11)30.95% (1.11 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-1.322 -1.32)67.25% (1.321 1.32)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 33.61%
    Racing de Montevideo 37.76%
    Draw 28.61%
River PlateDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.258 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 33.61%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.41% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.61%
0-1 @ 12.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.233 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, August 26 at 5pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 River Plate
Saturday, July 22 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 La Luz
Sunday, July 16 at 4pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Torque 0-1 River Plate
Monday, July 10 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 4-0 River Plate
Saturday, July 1 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Maldonado
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Racing
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Maldonado
Saturday, July 22 at 4.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Racing
Saturday, July 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, July 9 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 3-0 Racing
Sunday, July 2 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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