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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
33.61% ( 0.94) | 28.62% ( 0.26) | 37.77% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.38% ( -0.77) | 60.62% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.29% ( -0.59) | 80.7% ( 0.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% ( 0.25) | 33.65% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.7% ( 0.27) | 70.3% ( -0.27) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( -1.11) | 30.95% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.75% ( -1.32) | 67.25% ( 1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.61% | 0-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.76% |
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