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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
33.91% ( 0.59) | 28.5% ( 0.02) | 37.59% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 46.2% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.84% ( 0.01) | 60.15% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.64% ( 0) | 80.35% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.79% ( 0.41) | 33.2% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.19% ( 0.45) | 69.81% ( -0.45) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0.37) | 30.83% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( -0.43) | 67.1% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.59% |
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