SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rampla Juniors win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rampla Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rampla Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
35.74% ( -1.11) | 26.62% ( 0.58) | 37.64% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -1.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( -2.48) | 52.83% ( 2.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -2.16) | 74.45% ( 2.16) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -1.83) | 28.36% ( 1.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -2.37) | 64.1% ( 2.37) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -0.86) | 27.24% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( -1.14) | 62.66% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.74% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.73)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.72) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.64% |
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