SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
43.92% ( 0.57) | 24.33% ( 0.1) | 31.74% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 58.84% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.71) | 43.7% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.7) | 66.09% ( 0.7) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.04) | 20.05% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -0.07) | 52.27% ( 0.07) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( -0.75) | 26.4% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( -1.02) | 61.56% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.22% Total : 31.74% |
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