SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
29.19% ( 0.06) | 24.05% ( 0.18) | 46.75% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 58.39% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.78) | 43.67% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.94% ( -0.77) | 66.06% ( 0.77) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% ( -0.35) | 28.05% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% ( -0.45) | 63.71% ( 0.45) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( -0.41) | 18.84% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( -0.68) | 50.28% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.33% Total : 46.76% |
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