SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
38.54% ( -0.02) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 35.78% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.22% ( 0.05) | 48.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.04) | 70.88% ( -0.04) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.01) | 24.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.54% ( 0.02) | 59.46% ( -0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.04) | 26.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.45% ( 0.06) | 61.55% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.78% |
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