Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cremonese |
53.71% ( -1.36) | 23.97% ( 0.65) | 22.31% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 51.98% ( -1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.98% ( -1.93) | 49.01% ( 1.93) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.9% ( -1.77) | 71.09% ( 1.77) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( -1.21) | 18.17% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.84% ( -2.11) | 49.15% ( 2.1) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% ( -0.4) | 36.47% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.74% ( -0.41) | 73.25% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cremonese |
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.38% Total : 53.71% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.79% Total : 22.31% |
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