The first Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Cremonese should end with a conventional scoreline, as the hosts have generally come out on top in previous league meetings. Even if key players are rested, the Giallorossi can blood promising players with European experience already under their belts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.05) 
