Despite becoming victims of Cremonese's giant-killing cup run earlier this month, Roma are not likely to suffer the same fate again in midweek. An abundance of attacking talent complements the visitors' steely defensive resolve under Mourinho, so they will prolong their hosts' long wait for a league win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
0.01) 
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