SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Udinese |
51.71% ( 0.11) | 25.09% ( 0.03) | 23.19% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.65% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( -0.23) | 52.63% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( -0.2) | 74.28% ( 0.2) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0.05) | 20.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.24% ( -0.07) | 52.75% ( 0.07) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( -0.26) | 37.65% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( -0.25) | 74.43% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.71% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.19% |
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