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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 20, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
S
Sarmiento

Rosario
4 - 2
Sarmiento

Modica (22', 36'), Rodriguez (38'), Giaccone (79')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (46'), Gho (83')
Acosta (36'), Gabriel Rosales (45'), Gho (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Rosario Central 1-0 Sarmiento

Although Sarmiento are in good form, having a lengthy break did not come at the most opportune moment, and we believe that long layoff will hamper them against Rosario. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.84%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawSarmiento
49.17% (-0.163 -0.16) 29.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 21.31% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 36.73% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.72% (0.166 0.17)68.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.88% (0.109 0.11)86.12% (-0.108 -0.11)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55%28.45% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (0.3 0.3)48.66% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (0.216 0.22)83.71% (-0.21600000000001 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 49.16%
    Sarmiento 21.31%
    Draw 29.51%
Rosario CentralDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 17.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 10.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 49.16%
0-0 @ 13.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.84% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 29.51%
0-1 @ 9.97% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.51% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Internacional
Wednesday, July 17 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 1-1 Rosario
Wednesday, June 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-1 Rosario
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Deportivo Riestra 0-2 Rosario
Friday, May 24 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Tigre
Tuesday, May 21 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Estudiantes
Thursday, June 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Sunday, May 19 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Instituto
Friday, May 10 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Platense
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division


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