SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
| 23 | Rosario Central | 12 | -6 | 10 |
| 24 | Atletico Tucuman | 12 | -9 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 56.25% | 25.15% ( 0.02) | 18.61% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.44% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.38% ( -0.09) | 57.62% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.61% ( -0.07) | 78.39% ( 0.07) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.03) | 20.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( -0.05) | 52.98% ( 0.06) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.64% ( -0.07) | 45.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.78% ( -0.06) | 81.22% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 14.73% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.61% |
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