SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Libya | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Rwanda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.4%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rwanda | Draw | Libya |
56.59% ( 0) | 26.87% | 16.53% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 36.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.69% ( -0) | 65.3% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.9% ( -0) | 84.1% ( 0) |
| Rwanda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( -0) | 23.57% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.36% ( 0) | 57.64% ( -0) |
| Libya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.39% ( -0) | 52.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.6% ( -0) | 86.4% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rwanda | Draw | Libya |
| 1-0 @ 17.92% 2-0 @ 12.94% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.17% Total : 56.58% | 0-0 @ 12.4% 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.56% Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.53% |
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