SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
23.28% ( -2.05) | 24.61% ( -1.1) | 52.11% ( 3.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.21% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.37% ( 2.59) | 50.62% ( -2.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.46% ( 2.24) | 72.53% ( -2.24) |
| Sagan Tosu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% ( -0.4) | 36.46% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.41) | 73.24% ( 0.41) |
| Kashima Antlers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.6% ( 2.35) | 19.4% ( -2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.78% ( 3.72) | 51.22% ( -3.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sagan Tosu | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
| 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.86) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.81% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.77)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.56)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.35)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.36)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.1% |
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