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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
36.15% ( -1.56) | 24.46% ( 0.07) | 39.39% ( 1.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.45) | 43.2% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.44) | 65.6% ( 0.44) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -1.02) | 23.6% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -1.5) | 57.68% ( 1.5) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( 0.55) | 21.93% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( 0.82) | 55.21% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.49% Total : 39.39% |
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