SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
44.24% ( -0.06) | 23.67% ( -0.01) | 32.08% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( 0.07) | 40.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.08) | 62.83% ( -0.08) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 0.01) | 18.59% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% ( 0.01) | 49.86% ( -0.01) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.08) | 24.61% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( 0.11) | 59.12% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.08% |
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