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Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
SL

Dallas
2 - 0
St Louis City

Ferreira (28' pen.), Burgess (81')
Illarramendi (45+11'), Ibeagha (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nilsson (26'), Parker (34'), Lowen (68'), Thorisson (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 1-1 St Louis City

In the midst of winless streaks, both teams will fight hard for a victory in Sunday's meeting, and we anticipate a tight contest with the hosts particularly keen to bounce back under new management. We put the two sides on a fairly level playing field and see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome in Texas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 18.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
DallasDrawSt Louis City
60.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 21.07% (0.0040000000000013 0) 18.8% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.98% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.038999999999994 0.04)63.37% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)13.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40%
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.061999999999998 0.06)35.41% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.065999999999999 0.07)72.17% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 60.13%
    St Louis City 18.8%
    Draw 21.07%
DallasDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.71%
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.39%
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 60.13%
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.07%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 18.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 Dallas
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 3-1 Dallas
Thursday, May 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 3-3 Salt Lake
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Dallas
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-3 St Louis City
Sunday, June 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-2 Seattle
Sunday, May 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-1 St Louis City
Sunday, May 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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