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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Arechi
BL

Salernitana
1 - 2
Bologna

Simy (75')
Coulibaly (26'), Tchaouna (36'), Mazzocchi (39'), Dia (42'), Daniliuc (48'), Gyomber (54'), Kastanos (89')
Fazio (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zirkzee (9', 20')
Zirkzee (44'), Urbanski (85'), Skorupski (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Bologna

All three of Salernitana's wins in league and cup this season have come at Stadio Arechi, while Bologna are yet to taste success on the road. Despite the disparity between them in the table, a fourth straight draw in this fixture could therefore be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawBologna
32.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 25.59% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 41.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.08% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)48.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99% (-0.038 -0.04)71.01% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)28.23% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)63.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)57.36% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 32.88%
    Bologna 41.53%
    Draw 25.59%
SalernitanaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 41.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, December 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Lazio
Saturday, November 25 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-2 Salernitana
Friday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 4-0 Sampdoria
Tuesday, October 31 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Salernitana
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Bologna
Sunday, December 3 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Torino
Monday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lazio
Friday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Hellas Verona
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, October 28 at 2pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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