As bad as San Jose have been at home this term, Sporting Kansas have been significantly worse on the road, and we cannot see them getting anything from this one.
We are tipping the hosts to emerge triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
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