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Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
PT

Earthquakes
1 - 2
Portland

Marie (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evander (22'), Rodriguez (72')
Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 2-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-2 Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers have been consistent recently, putting together some fantastic results that have allowed them to climb up the league table. Considering the hosts are sat bottom of the league currently, it will be expected that the visitors should take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 52.88%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
52.88% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.12% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.37% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)42.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.34% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (0.0049999999999955 0)16.24% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)45.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.013000000000005 0.01)31.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)67.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 52.88%
    Portland Timbers 24.12%
    Draw 23%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.91%
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 52.88%
1-1 @ 10.74%
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 6.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.91% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41%
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.12%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-4 Cincinnati
Sunday, June 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 5-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, June 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 0-1 Orlando City
Sunday, May 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Colorado 2-3 Earthquakes
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-0 Portland
Sunday, June 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-2 Houston
Sunday, June 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-2 Portland
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-1 Portland
Sunday, May 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, May 16 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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