SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
61.75% ( -0.01) | 21% ( -0.01) | 17.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.21% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( 0.06) | 43.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( 0.06) | 65.65% ( -0.06) |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( 0.02) | 13.48% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.51% ( 0.03) | 40.48% ( -0.03) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.5% ( 0.06) | 38.5% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.75% ( 0.06) | 75.25% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Kansas City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.4% 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.25% |
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