SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 45.62%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 24.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.52%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Belgrano |
45.62% ( -0.1) | 29.96% ( -0) | 24.42% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 38.43% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.35% ( 0.06) | 67.65% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.3% ( 0.04) | 85.7% ( -0.04) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -0.02) | 29.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.89% ( -0.03) | 66.1% ( 0.03) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.9% ( 0.14) | 45.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.99% ( 0.11) | 81.01% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 16.28% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.26% Total : 45.61% | 0-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.95% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.41% |
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