SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.73%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | San Lorenzo |
47.62% ( 0.03) | 29.75% ( -0.03) | 22.63% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 37.46% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.93% ( 0.06) | 68.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.02% ( 0.04) | 85.98% ( -0.04) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% ( 0.04) | 29.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% ( 0.05) | 65.07% ( -0.06) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.86% ( 0.03) | 47.14% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.41% ( 0.02) | 82.59% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 16.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 47.61% | 0-0 @ 13.73% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 12.73% 2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.74% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.63% |
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