With Sao Paulo not conceding in six group games and San Lorenzo keeping two shutouts in the playoff round, goals may not be a regular occurrence in this tie. Nevertheless, we are backing the visitors to edge a tight game, giving them an advantage ahead of the reverse fixture.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0) 
