SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.26%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 19% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for San Lorenzo in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Sarmiento |
54.11% ( -0.07) | 28.61% ( 0.02) | 17.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 33.87% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.91% ( 0) | 69.09% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.35% | 86.65% ( -0) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( -0.03) | 26.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.39% ( -0.04) | 61.61% ( 0.04) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.05% ( 0.07) | 53.95% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.75% ( 0.04) | 87.24% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 18.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 54.1% | 0-0 @ 14.26% 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
