Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 10, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nuevo Corona
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Cruz Azul |
38.71% ( 0.06) | 24.7% ( -0.13) | 36.58% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.46) |
| 55.72% ( 0.59) | 44.28% ( -0.59) |
| 33.35% ( 0.57) | 66.65% ( -0.57) |
| 77.26% ( 0.3) | 22.74% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0.44) | 56.42% ( -0.44) |
| 76.14% ( 0.3) | 23.86% ( -0.3) |
