SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pachuca |
21.96% ( 0.08) | 22.7% ( 0.23) | 55.33% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.01% ( -0.91) | 43.99% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.63% ( -0.9) | 66.37% ( 0.9) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.01% ( -0.44) | 33.99% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.33% ( -0.47) | 70.67% ( 0.48) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( -0.42) | 15.77% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.11% ( -0.78) | 44.89% ( 0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Pachuca |
| 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 21.96% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.14% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.34% |
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