SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Fluminense |
41.34% ( -1.33) | 26.98% ( -0.18) | 31.69% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.06% ( 1.18) | 54.94% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.78% ( 0.96) | 76.22% ( -0.96) |
| Santos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.16) | 26.18% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.73% ( -0.21) | 61.27% ( 0.22) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.96% ( 1.7) | 32.04% ( -1.7) |
