Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Santos had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
