Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Santos had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.02%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fluminense in this match.
0.61) 
-0.22) 
