Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
45.7%	25.79% ( -0)	28.51% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

0.01)

51.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

0.01)

73.32% (

-0.01)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.49% (

0.01)

22.51% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.01)

56.07% (

-0.01)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

0.01)

32.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

0.01)

69.12% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bahia 45.7%

Fluminense 28.51%

Draw 25.78%

Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.59% Total : 28.51%