SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 40.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 29.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Belgrano |
40.71% ( 0.12) | 30.25% ( 0.03) | 29.04% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.33% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.31% ( -0.12) | 66.69% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.94% ( -0.08) | 85.06% ( 0.08) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.01) | 32.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( 0.01) | 68.79% ( -0.01) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.57% ( -0.18) | 40.43% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% ( -0.17) | 77.05% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarmiento | Draw | Belgrano |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.25% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 29.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
