Sassuolo and Cagliari have drawn 10 of their 17 Serie A meetings to date, and the same result may be produced this weekend; the hosts cannot keep a lead intact, while their visitors struggle outside of Sardinia.
That outcome would leave both at the mercy of other teams in a tense survival scrap that will climax on the final day of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
0.12) 
-0.06) 
