These clubs have not drawn any of their last Serie A 17 meetings, and that streak could continue on Sunday evening, when Atalanta should return to base with maximum points. Their varied attack can exploit Cagliari's dubious defence, though it will be far from a straightforward mission.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.12) 
