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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 at 5pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore
NL

Sassuolo
1 - 6
Napoli

Racic (17')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Rrahmani (29'), Osimhen (31', 41', 47'), Kvaratskhelia (51', 75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sassuolo 1-2 Napoli

These two out-of-form teams can view Wednesday's fixture as a decent opportunity to claim three valuable points, although Napoli will be regarded as favourites to come out on top considering their impressive head-to-head record, and they should ultimately have enough firepower to edge past a defensively-frail Sassuolo outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
SassuoloDrawNapoli
28.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.89% (0.012 0.01) 47.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.79% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)48.05% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)70.22% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)31.11% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)67.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)20.47% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.05% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)52.95% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 28.07%
    Napoli 47.04%
    Draw 24.88%
SassuoloDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.07%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.88%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 47.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Saturday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 4-2 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 1-1 Genoa
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Napoli
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A


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