SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
11.71% ( -1.96) | 16.75% ( -1.15) | 71.55% ( 3.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.47% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% ( 0.47) | 35.62% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% ( 0.52) | 57.68% ( -0.52) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.61% ( -2.72) | 41.39% ( 2.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( -2.48) | 77.9% ( 2.48) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.23% ( 0.84) | 8.77% ( -0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.89% ( 2) | 30.11% ( -2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.71% | 1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.42)0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.75% | 0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.2)0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.76)1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 5.31% ( 0.64)1-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2)0-5 @ 2.58% ( 0.4)1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.2)2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 71.54% |
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