SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
52.64% ( 0.29) | 22.82% ( 0.05) | 24.54% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.56) | 41.67% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.92% ( -0.57) | 64.08% ( 0.57) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -0.1) | 15.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.91% ( -0.19) | 45.09% ( 0.19) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.57) | 30.47% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( -0.69) | 66.69% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| SBV Excelsior | Draw | FC Volendam |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.64% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 24.54% |
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