SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
41.14% ( 0.03) | 24.54% ( -0.01) | 34.32% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.02% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.13% ( 0.05) | 43.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.75% ( 0.05) | 66.25% ( -0.05) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% ( 0.04) | 21.38% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.63% ( 0.06) | 54.36% ( -0.06) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( 0.01) | 24.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.02) | 59.56% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.32% |
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