SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.77% ( 0.46) | 24.87% ( -0) | 40.36% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( 0.11) | 45.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.11) | 67.63% ( -0.11) |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 0.32) | 25.34% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.44) | 60.13% ( -0.44) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.17) | 22.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( -0.26) | 55.87% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.36% |
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