SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hereford United win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Hereford United |
62.9% ( -1.47) | 21.78% ( 0.5) | 15.33% ( 0.98) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.06% ( -0.19) | 49.94% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( -0.16) | 71.93% ( 0.17) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( -0.53) | 15.29% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.99% ( -1.01) | 44.01% ( 1.02) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.01% ( 1.28) | 44.99% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.07% ( 1) | 80.93% ( -1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scunthorpe United | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.36)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.12% Total : 62.9% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.77% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.39% Total : 15.33% |
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