SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Burkina Faso |
53.49% ( -0.05) | 26.65% ( -0.06) | 19.86% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.46% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.28) | 61.24% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( 0.21) | 81.17% ( -0.21) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( 0.1) | 23.15% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.98% ( 0.15) | 57.02% ( -0.14) |
| Burkina Faso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.94% ( 0.29) | 46.05% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.24% ( 0.22) | 81.76% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Burkina Faso |
| 1-0 @ 15.59% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 19.86% |
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