SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Serbia | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 6 | -7 | 2 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 5 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Serbia | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 5 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 6 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Serbia | Draw | Montenegro |
50.91% ( -0.81) | 25.69% ( 0.16) | 23.4% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 48.16% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.29% ( -0.03) | 54.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.97% ( -0.03) | 76.04% ( 0.03) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.35) | 21.53% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.41% ( -0.55) | 54.59% ( 0.55) |
| Montenegro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.61) | 38.63% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( 0.57) | 75.37% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Serbia | Draw | Montenegro |
| 1-0 @ 12.77% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.17% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.52% Total : 23.4% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
