SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
62.71% ( 0.02) | 22.2% ( 0.08) | 15.09% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.86% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( -0.46) | 51.99% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( -0.4) | 73.73% ( 0.4) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.95% ( -0.15) | 16.05% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.59% ( -0.28) | 45.41% ( 0.28) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.44% ( -0.41) | 46.56% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.85% ( -0.32) | 82.16% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 62.71% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.2% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.09% |
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