SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.15%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Marseille |
25.62% ( -0.02) | 23.23% ( -0) | 51.15% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( 0.01) | 42.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( 0.01) | 64.96% ( -0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( -0.01) | 30.09% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% ( -0.01) | 66.23% ( 0) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( 0.01) | 16.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.37% ( 0.02) | 46.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Marseille |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.04% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 25.62% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.15% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.15% |
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