Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
37.58% ( 1.54) | 24.51% ( -0.07) | 37.91% ( -1.47) |
Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% ( 0.44) | 43.35% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.25% ( 0.43) | 65.74% ( -0.43) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% ( 1.02) | 22.91% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% ( 1.48) | 56.67% ( -1.48) |
Royal Antwerp Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( -0.54) | 22.74% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% ( -0.81) | 56.42% ( 0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Royal Antwerp |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.3% Total : 37.91% |
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