SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Qingdao Jonoon win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
48.23% ( -0.59) | 25.93% ( 0.13) | 25.84% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% ( -0.2) | 53.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.78% ( -0.16) | 75.21% ( 0.16) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.34) | 22.29% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.25% ( -0.52) | 55.75% ( 0.51) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.28) | 35.89% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( 0.29) | 72.67% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Qingdao Jonoon |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.94% Total : 25.84% |
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